Rates
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The JLT index is below levels recorded in 2016 and around 30 percent below 2013 benchmarks.
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A key question is whether retro dislocation will spill over into reinsurance renewals.
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In the US, renewal results varied widely and wildfire losses were a subject of focus.
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Spreads on the health insurance cat bond have dropped, but still above the record low level on the 2018 deal, according to sources.
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The broker said deployable ILS capacity could become more broadly constrained, but equally there were signs capital could increase.
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As less ILS capital was available at 1 January, retro rates rose by up to 35 percent on loss-hit deals, the broker said in its 1st View report.
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Quota share and aggregate retro remain the most disrupted pockets of the market ahead of the January renewals, as underlying reinsurance looks flatter.
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The manager also said the spread-widening associated with Florence and Michael had a dampening effect on cat bond performance.
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US homeowners’ insurance business is likely to deliver an after-tax return on equity (RoE) of 5.5 percent in 2018, up from an estimated 4.5 percent in 2017, according to an Aon Reinsurance Solutions report.
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The AlphaCat CEO will assist AIG with the use of modelling technologies.
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Munich Re said there was growing pressure for underwriting discipline.