Willis Towers Watson has tipped that greater focus will be drawn to ILS domiciles and structures in 2020 amid an “unusual amount of innovation” from existing and emerging jurisdictions.
The deal points to a significant price correction in the cat bond market since 2018, with projected spreads up more than 20 percent when compared with past deals.
It will be many months before the $11bn payout agreed between Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E) filters through to the (re)insurance and ILS markets, with this lump sum likely to benefit some parties more than others.
Panellists at Trading Risk’s conference in New York said they were adopting a wait-and-see approach to Lloyd’s Blueprint One proposals intended to make it easier for ILS managers to participate in the market.
Access to risk has been the biggest driver of M&A deals for independent ILS funds, TigerRisk Capital Markets & Advisory co-CEO Jarad Madea said at Trading Risk’s conference in New York last month.
Benjamin Franklin apparently once said that ‘nothing in life is certain except death and taxes’ – and it seems like the adage resonated with the risk modellers of the (re)insurance industry.
Broader risks could entice new investors to the ILS space, Dan Brookman head of alternative capital at Axa XL said at Trading Risk’s conference in New York earlier this month.
The EUR45mn ($49.50mn) Atmos Re I cat bond from Unipol is likely to lose nearly 50 percent due to severe weather events in Italy, according to sources.
The ILS market’s shift toward lower-attaching risk in the past decade meant it had much higher exposures to the 2017/18 losses than to the last active hurricane season in 2004/05.
Non-life insurers in Japan are anticipating a 300bn yen ($2.8bn) loss from Typhoon Faxai, the chairman of the General Insurance Association of Japan has said.
Cat bond pricing volatility in the first half of the year meant that some cedants didn’t want to risk entering the market, the Willis executive told Trading Risk.
Pricing has not increased to levels that compensate for the volatility in the sector in the past couple of years, the investor said in an earnings call.
The UK regulator has said that it is happy to discuss proposals with applicants who think their structures meet the principals of being ‘fully funded’.
Typhoon Jebi creep continued to have an impact on performance, with multi-instrument ILS funds reporting an average loss of -0.78 percent for the quarter.
Barry could go on to produce storm surge and tropical storm or hurricane force winds across parts of Louisiana, Mississippi and upper Texas coasts, the NHC said.
Ten months on from Typhoon Jebi, there is still considerable uncertainty around why the storm’s insured losses are expected to be so much higher than the initial modelled figures.
The Colorado State University meteorologists are now predicting an average storm season, revising their earlier expectation for slightly below normal activity.
Insurers are looking to line up private deals as a stalemate emerges over early firm-order terms averaging risk-adjusted increases of 15-20 percent year on year.
Issuances from United Insurance Holdings, American Integrity Insurance Company and Safepoint have all reflected an uptick in pricing compared with prior-year benchmarks.
Insurers are looking to keep overall risk-adjusted rate increases to around 15-20 percent, lower than reinsurer expectations but still reversing several years of declining yields.
UPC Insurance halved the amount of reinsurance limit it will seek from the open market to $808mn, after opting for more state fund and quota share cover.
A digital approach to defining investor appetite and return expectations is one way Lloyd’s could benefit the ILS market in the future, John Neal said at the market’s prospectus launch today.
This is the platform’s first deal to be issued since Rewire Securities, which brokered the previous Eclipse deals, stopped functioning as an independent broker-dealer.
Two tranches of Heritage’s Citrus notes traded at 4.5 cents despite the latest loss reports from the company implying both bonds still have at least 30 percent capacity left.
Cat bond investors are being more careful in assessing where to put their funds after recent losses, Aon Securities CEO Paul Schultz said at Trading Risk’s ILS conference in London this month.
A tighter cat bond market persisted into the first quarter of 2019, with new issuance activity expected to remain subdued heading into the hurricane season.
Catastrophe insurer Palomar Specialty Insurance Company is offering a total of 6.47mn shares, with an initial public offering price expected of between $15.00 and $17.00 per share.
Ontario Teachers’ kept its C$150mn ($85.60mn)-plus investments in DaVinci Re, the Hudson Catastrophe Fund and Kyobo last year as it cut capacity for 2019.
One of the biggest evolutions in the ILS market has been the move away from a hedge fund investor base to a more permanent capital base, according to RenaissanceRe managing director Chris Parry.
Plans to launch a vehicle that is both an ILS fund and insurance transformer are being reviewed by the Guernsey regulator, Carey Olsen partner Christopher Anderson revealed at We Are Guernsey’s ILS reception in London last month.
Cat bonds are becoming a “primary area of focus” for investors after faring well amid two years of catastrophe losses, AlphaCat CEO Lixin Zeng said at this year’s Sifma IRLS conference in Miami.
There is uncertainty around whether it will ultimately be the ILS market or the traditional reinsurance market that drives wildfire re-pricing, panellists said at the Sifma IRLS conference in Miami.
The cat bond market is set to shrink temporarily as 2019 issuance to date has been overshadowed by the $1.85bn of cat bonds maturing in the first quarter of this year.
The tsunami which struck Lampung and Banten in Indonesia on Saturday destroyed thousands of homes and commercial buildings, including at least nine hotels.
Quota share and aggregate retro remain the most disrupted pockets of the market ahead of the January renewals, as underlying reinsurance looks flatter.
PCS has put out an initial $13.8bn combined loss figure for the Camp and Woolsey wildfires which tore through California in November, sources told Trading Risk.
The retro market is likely to tighten at this year’s renewals as investors pause and reconsider their strategies following another year of substantial losses.
The former XL Catlin chief operating officer is taking on an advisory role at the start-up which is developing a trading platform for (re)insurance risk.
Reinsurance market sources expected Hurricane Michael to cause insured industry losses of $10bn, but the limited number of public loss estimates released to date suggest Florida insurers are hoping it will remain below this level.
Hurricane Michael is likely to have triggered Floridian window industry loss warranties (ILWs), sources told Trading Risk. The window covers typically attach at ranges between $2bn-10bn and $7bn-15bn, covering Florida wind risks only.
Only around three or four reinsurers are managing true asset management platforms, Hiscox Re & ILS chief operating officer Richard Lowther said at the Trading Risk New York Rendez-Vous.
The Philippines has issued tropical storm warnings and has evacuated some coastal areas as Typhoon Yutu is set to bring heavy wind and rain to the islands.
Catastrophe losses added 9.0 points to the (re)insurer’s combined ratio as Hurricane Florence and Typhoon Jebi pushed up losses, mainly impacting its reinsurance division.
The asset manager and Oppenheimer’s former owner MassMutual have entered into an agreement which will bring Invesco’s total assets under management to $1.2 trillion.
The asset manager said that expected losses from Hurricane Typhoon and Hurricane Florence, as well as escalating Irma losses had led to the drop in Q3 NAV.
The Category 4 hurricane has a central pressure of 940mb, above the 935mb threshold needed to trigger the Pacific hurricane layer of the 2017 Multicat Mexico cat bond.
Cresta is an independent body set up in 1977 by the insurance and reinsurance industry to provide a global data standard to the exchange of aggregated insurance information.
The California Earthquake Authority has narrowed the spread for its Ursa Re 2018-1 cat bond to 500-525 basis points after offering an initial range of 490-540 bps.
The broker is launching the platform in New York to connect holders of long-tail insurance risk with capital market investors, sister publication The Insurance Insider has reported.
Hurricane Lane, which hit Hawaii earlier this month, is set to be more of a flood event than a wind event for insurers, rating agency AM Best has said.
Citrus Re cat bond losses have more than doubled since May amid rising claims from Hurricane Irma, with the total $324mn payout expected to flow to Heritage set to be a new record for the ILS market.
A growing focus on climate change, as well as the increasing breadth of the ILS market, means that investors are considering the argument for ILS as an ESG investment, as well as a diversifier.
Sirius International Insurance Group and Easterly Acquisition Group have named Gallatin Point Capital as one of the investors on a private placement that will raise at least $213mn.
Jean-Jacques Henchoz, who was previously in change of the EMEA region of Swiss Re, has been named as the German (re)insurer’s new chief executive officer.
The California Earthquake Authority (CEA) has returned to the cat bond market with a single tranche of class D Ursa Re notes, for which it is offering an initial spread of 490-540 bps.
The Swedish insurers’ association Svensk Forsakring has estimated the fires that swept through Swedish forests from May to July will lead to insured losses of SEK800mn ($87mn).
The parent company for Louisiana insurer Maison has reported a net income of $135mn for the second quarter of this year, as high catastrophe losses countered an increase in revenue.
The Mendocino wildfire, which is currently tearing across North California, nearly doubled in size over the weekend to become the fourth largest in state history.
The retro manager said the ordinary shares in its London-listed Reinsurance Opportunities Fund had gained 0.5 percent in June, trailing the 1.1 percent return from its new share class launched for 2018.
The carrier is now the top-ranking insurer among sidecar sponsors Liberty Mutual’s Limestone Re vehicle is now the third-largest quota-share reinsurance sidecar vehicle on the market, based on Trading Risk records, as its total capacity reached $700mn.
The average second quarter returns for a group of ILS funds tracked by Trading Risk has increased to 1.36 percent, compared with 0.79 percent for the same quarter last year.
The latest increase in PCS figures for hurricanes Harvey and Irma means that US wind aggregate industry loss warranties (ILWs) that trigger at $30bn have been hit, Trading Risk sources said.
Cat bond spreads proved to be largely unaffected by last year’s catastrophe activity as sponsors topped up ILS cover in a busy second quarter that nonetheless failed to outstrip 2017’s record volumes.
Cutting costs out of the reinsurance risk transfer chain is going to be the next focus for evolution in the market, said Nephila co-founder Greg Hagood.
Charity Bare has been named director of risk and compliance of Nephila Syndicate Management while Gina Butterworth has been appointed director of underwriting.
The London-listed carrier is said to be looking for both ILS and Names money to support the growth of its facilities-only special-purpose arrangement for 2019.
Wade, a key figure in developing the London ILS framework, was named an Officer of the Order of the British Empire in this year’s Queen’s Birthday Honours.
Hatteras Funds, a North Carolina-based alternative asset manager, has launched the fifth new ILS strategy this year and joins a trend of more feeder funds being set up in the asset class.
There has been a downturn in the number of Florida-only cat bonds in the second quarter of this year, with only two Sunshine State deals compared to the five issued last year, as local sponsors expanded the scope of their cover.
CEO of global P&C Victor Peignet praised the UK’s regulatory authorities for their "responsiveness" following the issuance of Scor's first UK cat bond.
A busy month of US wind issuance in the cat bond market has highlighted a quick return to pre-Harvey, Irma and Maria (HIM) pricing levels following last year’s losses.
As the 2017 catastrophe claims evolve, an “awful lot” of trapped retro capital could become lost capital, chief underwriting officer at QBE Re Jonathan Parry said during a panel debate at the Trading Risk London ILS conference.
Reinsurance rate increases fell short of expectations after hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria (HIM), but this could change if the market endures further major losses in 2018, panellists said at the Trading Risk London ILS conference.
Zurich-based ILS manager Plenum has grown its assets under management (AuM) by almost 40 percent since the start of the year, to reach $355mn at the end of April.
Swiss pension fund Basellandschaftliche Pensionskasse (BLPK) has reported that its ILS investments made a 5.51 percent loss in 2017, joining a number of other local funds that reported the impact of last year’s catastrophe events.
Cat bond volumes are expected to expand by 20 percent in 2018 in the aftermath of last year’s losses, Fermat Capital wrote in an ILS market update distributed by GAM.
The new Residential Re cat bond for military insurer USAA has expanded by more than 70 percent over the course of marketing, settling at $300mn from an initial target of $175mn, Trading Risk understands.
Hedge fund Citadel has hired the founder of weather-driven hedge fund Cumulus, Peter Brewer, along with 20 traders and analysts from the fund as it closes down, according to reports.
The Resilience Re platform run by Willis Towers Watson Securities has issued $150mn of series 1841A notes on the Bermuda Stock Exchange (BSX), bringing the platform’s total issuance for 2018 up to $262.6mn.