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The company is monitoring the NFIP’s flood-exposed bonds. -
This is a far narrower drop than post Ian, when the index was lost 10%.
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A client presentation from the broker put total insured losses at $25bn-$40bn, leaving the Citizens and the National Flood Insurance Programs clear of reinsurance impacts.
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Losses to the NFIP-sponsored cat bonds remains a key area of uncertainty, the investment manager reported.
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A $40bn Milton loss should barely dent many ILS returns but will trap some capital.
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The hurricane is likely to prevent rate reductions in property cat in 2025.
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The event has spared (re)insurers the more extreme scenarios that were under discussion earlier this week.
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Milton made landfall south of Tampa Bay at Category 3 on Wednesday night.
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This is based on insured loss estimates of between $20bn and $60bn.
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Integrity Re 2024-D and Lightning Re 2023-1A are two bonds that were marked down, although no trading has occurred.
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Hurricane Milton’s overall impact, based on the current pre-landfall scenario, could lead to “moderate losses” for Plenum’s funds.
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Collateralised reinsurance and retro are in the firing line.
