California
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Guy Carpenter said personal lines exposure would account for 85% of the aggregate loss.
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Fitch said 1Q wildfire losses could add 6% to 10% to Mercury’s CoR.
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The total includes fire and smoke damage plus living expenses for evacuees.
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The fire started Wednesday morning and is currently 0% contained.
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Most carriers paid more in homeowners’ claims than they collected in premiums.
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Two 2021 worldwide aggregate ILW notes are also among the markdowns.
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The carrier can claim separately for the Palisades and Eaton fires if necessary.
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The carrier has received more than 3,600 claims from LA wildfires.
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There are many unknown factors including insurance gaps, high-value property and damage to critical infrastructure.
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The bond is likely replacing the 2021-1 Class F bond, which matured in December.
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The anticipated portion ceded to reinsurance may reach the mid-to-high single-digit billions, it added.
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This will be the most expensive fire in the state’s history, it said.